Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.831940 0.936194 1.049727 1.182747 1.334587 1.502800 1.703679
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.667618 0.807581 0.972555 1.182214 1.442790 1.757559 2.168953
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.568128 0.719904 0.908195 1.160579 1.492470 1.917392 2.508009
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.515695 0.679222 0.890961 1.187826 1.597449 2.148791 2.957274
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.460678 0.626611 0.849292 1.173556 1.639637 2.294430 3.300104
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.424454 0.594313 0.829748 1.184603 1.714097 2.487955 3.728800
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.386527 0.555156 0.795633 1.169330 1.745855 2.618875 4.074345
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.356427 0.524059 0.769480 1.161832 1.786290 2.763940 4.455067
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.319909 0.479993 0.719762 1.112673 1.755316 2.791403 4.643170
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.304001 0.465791 0.713915 1.131131 1.833322 3.000960 5.161443
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.290392 0.453867 0.710266 1.152132 1.916478 3.225918 5.731630
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.275015 0.437768 0.698378 1.157857 1.973224 3.409581 6.246591
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.259534 0.420665 0.684030 1.159023 2.023713 3.590250 6.785024
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.247470 0.408351 0.676715 1.171785 2.096323 3.819129 7.448164
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.230434 0.386234 0.650799 1.148658 2.099608 3.916480 7.855839
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.223087 0.380297 0.652465 1.175824 2.200406 4.212385 8.716084
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.210015 0.363273 0.633068 1.161683 2.218995 4.345663 9.241500
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.201692 0.354146 0.627179 1.172611 2.288112 4.588612 10.042546
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.190431 0.338866 0.608810 1.157508 2.302348 4.717199 10.596808
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.181062 0.326465 0.594931 1.150093 2.331686 4.880824 11.255602
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.167251 0.304832 0.562034 1.101479 2.268622 4.833984 11.393669
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.162502 0.300186 0.561614 1.119733 2.352461 5.126524 12.422859
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.158304 0.296319 0.562406 1.140500 2.443702 5.445783 13.567633